GLACIER.PREDICT

High-Performance Polymarket CLOB Quant & Arbitrage Node (Native AOT)

Node: Helsinki [FI]

STREAMING

Polymarket Total Pot (Live Sync)

$0.00

Cash Pot: $0.00 | In Play: $0.00

Active Session PnL

$0.00

Session Start: $0.00 | Gain: +$0.00

Active Running Plays

24h Entries: 0 | Historical Fills: 0

24h Cash Deployed

$0.00

Orders: $0.00 + V2 Fees: $0.00

Portfolio Equity (USDC)

Cumulative Realised Trade PnL (hover price-change dots)

Edge Quality (1W)

Loading...

Why Signals Were Rejected (last 24h)

Execution Failures & Bottlenecks (last 24h) 0 bottlenecks

Time (UTC)	Market	Failure Reason / Abort	Ask Price	Edge	Status
🟢 No execution failures or bottlenecks in last 24h

Near-Miss Markets (last 24h) Maker edge = 1 − Σ(best bid + 1 tick): shadow data only, no orders placed

Market	Legs	24h Vol	Rejected For	Count	Best ΣAsk	Maker Edge	Last Seen
No rejected signals logged yet

Active Running Plays & Estimated Hold Window Syncing...

All 4 Engines Running: 5-Min Crypto (last 4m · 85%+ + 0%-Fee Near-Miss) 15-Min Crypto (last 7.5m · 85%+ + 0%-Fee Near-Miss) 1-Hour Crypto (last 12m · 85%+ win) 0%-Fee Maker (Pairs & Spreads)

Running Play & Hedged Legs	Deployed	Poly Value	Expiry Payout	Early Exit (∑Bids / Target)	Est. Hold Until (Max)
Loading running plays...

Executed Live Fills Ledger (Newest First) Updating...

Receipt	Timestamp (UTC)	Market Basket	Min Payout	Order Cost	V2 Fee	Total Debit	Realized P&L	Status
No live baskets executed yet — scanning live order books...

Polymarket Capital Pot

$80.83

Deposit: $100.00 (~£80) | PnL: -$19.17

Helsinki Cloud Node

$9.75 spent

Deposit: $100.00 | Credit: $90.25

Gemini Search API

£0.02 spent

Cap: £15.00 | Credit: £14.98

Gemini AI Ultra (Me)

£80 / mo

£2.67 / day (~$3.47) | Active Assistant

VPN Tunnel (2-Yr)

$67.00 prepaid

$2.79 / mo | $0.09 / day

CLOUD SERVER — HETZNER HELSINKI VPS

Dedicated Node · Native AOT CLOB Scanner · 500 Live WebSocket Books

ACTIVE NODE

Credit Consumed: 9.8% ($9.75) Credit Remaining: $90.25 (~£72.20)

Initial Account Deposit: $100.00 (~£80.00)

Incurred Usage to Date: $9.75

Remaining Balance: $90.25

Est. Daily Burn: ~$0.35 / day

Estimated Runway: ~257 Days (8.5 months)

GOOGLE GEMINI AI — ULTRA / ADVANCED ASSISTANT

Autonomous Coding Agent · Strategy Architecture · C# .NET Engineering

AI ARCHITECT

Monthly Subscription: £80.00 / mo (~$104.00) Amortized: £2.67 / day (~$3.47)

Assistant Model: Gemini 2.5 Pro / Ultra Coding Agent

Subscription Fee: £80.00 / month (~$104.00)

Daily Amortized Cost: £2.67 / day (~$3.47)

Deliverables & Output: Glacier.Predict, SIMD scanner, Oracle, Web Dashboard

Subscription Status: Active Monthly Plan

GEMINI 2.5 FLASH API

Search Grounding for 1-Leg Vetting

ONLINE

Spend: 0.13% (£0.02) Remaining: £14.98 (~$19.47)

Credit Cap: £15.00 (~$19.50)

Incurred Spend: £0.02 (~$0.03)

Remaining Credit: £14.98

Per Evaluation: ~0.4p (£0.004)

Runway: ~3,745 Queries

NETWORK VPN TUNNEL

2-Year Long-Term Plan

2-YR PREPAID

Total Paid: $67.00 USD

Duration: 2 Years (730 days)

Monthly Amortized: $2.79 / month

Daily Amortized: $0.0918 / day

Status: Prepaid in Full

POLYMARKET CAPITAL POT

Polygon USDC Collateral on CLOB

100% CASH

Initial Inflow: $100.00 (~£80)

Current Pot: $80.83 USDC

Net P&L to Date: -$19.17 (-19.2%)

Today's Recovery: +$13.62 Gain

Capital at Risk: $0.00 (Zero Exposure)

Comprehensive Infrastructure, AI & Capital Balance Sheet Real-time ledger

Asset / Service Item	Category	Initial / Pre-Funded	Consumed / Expensed	Current Retained Asset	Est. Daily Rate	Status
Polymarket Trading Pot Polygon USDC collateral on CLOB	Trading Capital	$100.00 (~£80)	-$19.17 (drawdown)	$80.83 USDC	Dynamic	Active (100% Cash)
Hetzner Helsinki VPS Dedicated AMD Node (500 WS books)	Cloud Compute	$100.00 (~£80 deposit)	$9.75	$90.25 Credit	~$0.35 / day	Online (257d runway)
Google Gemini AI (Ultra / Advanced) Autonomous AI pair programmer & quant architect	AI Coding Agent	£80.00 / mo (~$104)	£80.00 (Month 1)	Full Codebase & Engine	£2.67 / day (~$3.47)	Active Monthly
Gemini 2.5 Flash API Google Search Grounding for 1-leg markets	AI Oracle	£15.00 (~$19.50 cap)	£0.02 (~$0.03)	£14.98 Credit	~0.4p / query	Active (3,745 queries)
Dedicated VPN Gateway Fixed 2-year network tunnel	Network Gateway	$67.00 (2-year total)	~$2.79 (month 1)	$64.21 Remaining	$0.0918 / day	Prepaid (24 mo)
TOTAL CONSOLIDATED ECOSYSTEM	Consolidated	$390.50 USD	$135.74 Expensed	$190.55 Active Assets	~$3.96 / day (~£3.05)	Fully Funded

UNIT ECONOMICS & SELF-FUNDING TARGET

Trading profit required to render all server, AI assistant, AI API, and VPN costs 100% free

Breakeven Target: +$4.00 / day (~£3.08)

Combined Daily Burn Rate

$3.96 / day (~£3.05)

Gemini Ultra (£2.67) + Server ($0.35) + VPN ($0.09) + API ($0.05)

Required Trades to Self-Fund

2-3 Wins / day (+$4.00 total)

Just 2 winning quant trades (e.g. 2 x $2.00) makes the entire operation 100% self-funding!

Today's Incurred Coverage

+3.44 Days

Today's +$13.62 trading recovery covered over 3 full days of the ENTIRE stack!

Endpoint URL

cowleyshouse.co.uk

https://cowleyshouse.co.uk/api/evaluate

Pilot Trade Sizing Cap

$5.00

Strict limit for all AI-approved 1-leg plays

Conviction Gates

≥ 85% / +500bps

Requires ≥85% model prob & ≥+5.0% edge

Search Grounding Model

Gemini 2.5 Flash

With Google Search Grounding • ~0.4p/eval

Recent AI Oracle Evaluations & Fact-Checks Connected via Nginx SSL

Timestamp	Market Target	Outcome Evaluated	Market Ask	AI Model Prob	Net Edge	Verdict	Reasoning / Fact Check
Today 22:15 UTC	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5	Under 34.5	$0.440	5.0%	-3900 bps	VETOED	Luka is averaging 40.1 PPG over past 7 games with zero minutes restriction. Taking the Under has severe negative expected value.
Today 20:35 UTC	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290?	No	$0.580	99.0%	+4100 bps	APPROVED	Official market close confirmed at $288.87. 'No' contract is guaranteed to resolve at $1.00 at 21:00 UTC expiry. Sized $5.00.